Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#195
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#187
Pace64.2#297
Improvement+0.7#155

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#130
First Shot+4.5#52
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#344
Layup/Dunks-1.9#247
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#15
Freethrows+1.4#76
Improvement+0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#270
First Shot-5.7#320
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#19
Layups/Dunks-2.8#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#224
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement+0.6#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four47.5% n/a n/a
First Round78.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 32.0 - 5.02.0 - 11.0
Quad 414.0 - 4.016.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 53   @ New Mexico St. L 56-73 10%     0 - 1 -5.2 -9.1 +2.9
  Nov 11, 2018 170   UC Santa Barbara W 82-63 55%     1 - 1 +15.6 +9.5 +6.7
  Nov 16, 2018 152   Miami (OH) L 78-89 38%     1 - 2 -10.1 +14.5 -25.7
  Nov 17, 2018 344   Incarnate Word L 78-80 OT 88%     1 - 3 -17.1 -9.0 -8.1
  Nov 18, 2018 276   Towson W 76-51 67%     2 - 3 +18.3 +3.1 +16.5
  Nov 24, 2018 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 61-79 16%     2 - 4 -9.6 -3.2 -7.7
  Nov 26, 2018 1   @ Gonzaga L 60-102 1%     2 - 5 -15.5 -3.6 -11.0
  Dec 01, 2018 123   Drake L 88-95 30%     2 - 6 -3.6 +15.7 -19.2
  Dec 03, 2018 16   @ Iowa St. L 59-81 4%     2 - 7 -4.0 -9.9 +6.7
  Dec 08, 2018 227   Eastern Washington W 74-67 67%     3 - 7 +0.5 +1.9 -1.0
  Dec 15, 2018 172   Missouri St. W 74-67 55%     4 - 7 +3.5 -2.4 +5.7
  Dec 17, 2018 130   @ Montana L 53-60 23%     4 - 8 -1.5 -7.6 +4.7
  Dec 29, 2018 226   South Dakota W 71-65 66%     5 - 8 1 - 0 -0.4 +0.1 -0.1
  Dec 30, 2018 182   Purdue Fort Wayne L 87-90 OT 58%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -7.1 +6.2 -13.2
  Jan 02, 2019 162   @ Nebraska Omaha L 77-90 33%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -10.4 +4.8 -15.8
  Jan 10, 2019 293   Western Illinois W 85-69 79%     6 - 10 2 - 2 +5.4 +8.9 -3.3
  Jan 16, 2019 304   @ Denver L 65-80 64%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -20.8 -11.6 -9.4
  Jan 19, 2019 258   North Dakota W 67-65 73%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -6.5 -3.1 -3.2
  Jan 24, 2019 92   @ South Dakota St. L 69-87 17%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -9.9 -10.3 +2.4
  Jan 26, 2019 286   @ Oral Roberts W 67-57 58%     8 - 12 4 - 4 +5.8 -5.2 +11.9
  Feb 02, 2019 293   @ Western Illinois W 78-76 61%     9 - 12 5 - 4 -3.0 +5.6 -8.6
  Feb 06, 2019 258   @ North Dakota W 74-70 53%     10 - 12 6 - 4 +1.1 +1.5 -0.4
  Feb 09, 2019 304   Denver W 81-71 81%     11 - 12 7 - 4 -1.4 +1.6 -2.9
  Feb 14, 2019 286   Oral Roberts W 85-73 77%     12 - 12 8 - 4 +2.2 +17.4 -13.3
  Feb 16, 2019 92   South Dakota St. L 77-78 33%     12 - 13 8 - 5 +1.6 +9.5 -8.0
  Feb 23, 2019 162   Nebraska Omaha L 50-58 53%     12 - 14 8 - 6 -10.9 -18.7 +6.1
  Feb 28, 2019 226   @ South Dakota L 65-75 45%     12 - 15 8 - 7 -10.8 -1.4 -10.4
  Mar 02, 2019 182   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-66 37%     13 - 15 9 - 7 +4.5 -9.0 +13.3
  Mar 10, 2019 286   Oral Roberts W 86-73 68%     14 - 15 +6.0 +15.2 -7.9
  Mar 11, 2019 293   Western Illinois W 76-73 71%     15 - 15 -4.8 +12.1 -16.4
  Mar 12, 2019 162   Nebraska Omaha W 73-63 43%     16 - 15 +9.8 +7.1 +4.3
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6